Skip to main content

JP Morgan may come under pressure soon.

We've been tracking JP for a while. Looking to see if bears can take control of the market. I'm not sure if we've forgotten to post analysis on this or if I just can not find it, but it's another to add to the list of sketchy looking banks.

We'll start with a bit of hindsight (Which I try to avoid to the extent it is possible but IDK if we posted this in real time or not)

Butterfly pattern:

https://preview.redd.it/4aoelwjsss681.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=71c81869fcdd196cb46337ed654de77fe6e25a51

Resources (Look for Butterfly): Resources Compilation: Harmonic Patterns - HoleyProfit.com

76 retracement:

https://preview.redd.it/zvzmd3hbts681.png?width=1919&format=png&auto=webp&s=8b47839c5208b29930e0c67ff80c8979ac838aa1

Resources (See: The public trap): Typical stages of a market break. : BeatTheBear (reddit.com)

(See: 76 Retracements) Useful things to know in a market break : thetagang (reddit.com)

(See: Bear Market Rally) Understanding Market Bubbles: Bear Market Rally [Simplified Strategy] - HoleyProfit.com

Elliot Waves:

https://preview.redd.it/tq72wy9wts681.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=18447123afbcc6e1b072806e150a95ab9500299c

If this is going to be a down move our previous two swings would be waves 1 and 2 in the Elliot cycle. We'd be in wave 3 which is the strongest and biggest of the waves. We're a fair bit into where that wave would have started now and typically the market would be set to make a sharp bearish break and head into a strong down move.

Resources: (See Wave 3) Basic bearish Elliot wave structure for SP:SPX by holeyprofit — TradingView

The 161 Inflection Point

https://preview.redd.it/rq152vvjus681.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=f3db004cb3f60ca1228eb69cc6e6aaa2bf6ecbfe

We've now gotten to the critical point. We're at a real decision level. 161s off the topping swing can make lows (It's a good area to buy dips as a bull) but if this rally fails to turn into a real bull move and only goes up a little and then makes a new low, we're triggering the 161 breakout trade. The target for that trade would imply at least another 7% off the current price (144 area).

Resources (See 161 in a Fall): Understanding Market Bubbles: The Importance of the 161 in a Fall - HoleyProfit.com

(See 161 Breakout Strategy) Understanding the 1.61 breakout strategy [Newbie friendly] : HoleyProfit (reddit.com)

JP Morgan goes onto the sketchy banks list. Collection of sketchy bank setups : BeatTheBear (reddit.com). Major inflection point 150. Very strong chance of dominant bears under there.



via reddit https://ift.tt/3Eft5yF

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Things to know about Forex

We're going to start posting more about Forex setups and opportunities. The Forex (FX) market is not well understood by all, so here's some important things to note if considering FX trades/strategies. ​ The Forex market is a trader's market Forex markets are not easy, but they can be worth it. The FX markets are by far the largest of the available markets to trade. Usually here people quote how many trillion a day is turned over in the FX markets but I've not looked it up recently and it really does not matter - the real underlying benefit of the size of the Forex markets is the spreads (Fees) are very low and it's easy to trade large positions. A negative laid against the FX markets is there's a history of banks being fined for manipulating them. My viewpoint on this has always been if there's manipulation there's design. Where there's design, there's opportunity if one can work out enough about the design to create some betting edges. Fo...

Bear have more of a case here (But only with a small area of risk).

We’ve not seen anything notable bearish of late but we are now getting back into the sort of zone where we’d be likely to see bears if it is indeed the case we’re in a shallow bull trap on a weekly/monthly chart. Bears have not yet broken (And they might not) - but this is a time to be aware of the risks and where there’s again reasonable odds betting on a big bear move. Real further analysis and actionable break levels here. Bear break contingency plans - by HoleyProfit (substack.com) ​ TLDR: Short 4160. Stop 4179. Trail stops on longs to protect profits. via reddit https://ift.tt/zL2huGX